Okay, so I’ve been messing around with this whole “1.5 bet” thing, and let me tell you, it’s been a rollercoaster. Started off super hyped, thinking I’d cracked the code, you know?

I jumped right in. First, I spent hours, like, hours, just watching games. Any game, any sport, didn’t matter. I was just trying to get a feel for things, see if I could spot any patterns.
Then, I started tracking everything. Wins, losses, scores, the whole shebang. I made this massive spreadsheet – it was a thing of beauty, or at least I thought so. Color-coded and everything! I felt like a real pro, a stats wizard.
- Game type
- Teams playing
- Initial odds
- My bet
- Outcome
My initial strategy? Pure gut feeling. Seriously, I’d just look at the teams, think about their recent performance, and go with my gut. Surprisingly, it kinda worked… for a while.
The Downward Spiral
Then came the losing streak. Oh boy, it was brutal. I started second-guessing everything. My beautiful spreadsheet? It was mocking me. All those red “LOSS” entries, staring me in the face. I felt defeated.
I tried tweaking things. I read some articles online, watched some YouTube videos about betting strategies… most of it was just noise, honestly. Some people swear by complex formulas, others say it’s all about luck. I was lost.

I even tried the “follow the expert” route. Found some guy online who seemed to know his stuff, paid for his picks… and lost even more money. That was a low point.I almost gave up.
Changing My Perspective.
But I am not a quitter! I took a step back. I realized I was treating this like a get-rich-quick scheme, and that’s not what it’s about. I needed a more sustainable, long-term approach.
So, I ditched the gut feeling, the paid picks, all of it. I started focusing on value betting – finding situations where I thought the odds were genuinely in my favor, even if it was just a small edge.
It’s still a work in progress. I’m not winning every bet, not even close. But I’m learning. I’m making smarter decisions, and most importantly, I’m not losing my shirt anymore. The spreadsheet is still there, but it’s not as scary now. More like a friendly reminder of how far I’ve come. And today I can say, it works!